Quote:
Originally Posted by 1qqaaz
Anecdotally, it seems like many player who fell ended up being good value picks: Saad, Benn, Fowler, Forsberg, Mantha, Barzal, Hamilton come to mind.
Although we probably just remember them because they're good.
A lot of guys like Murphy, Kylington, Shinkaruk, Zack Phillips and Nichushkin fell and then didn't end up accomplishing much. I'm sure there's many more.
Other guys like DeAngelo and Ho-Sang fall for personality reasons, and ends up coming back to bite them eventually.
Matthew Tkachuk and Connor Zary both fell a bit, I was happy with those picks. Kekäläinen should get credit for passing on Puljujärvi, who was pretty much the consensus #3.
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There are two types of draft fallers here I think.
The guys that are ranked much higher going into the draft but then fall on draft day. These guys tend to be decent value and would cover the names you have in guys like Hamilton, Fowler, Forsberg, Barzal, Couturier, etc (I always wonder if Flames make the Hamilton trade if they know Barzal will be there at that pick)
Then there are the guys that are ranked highly going into their draft season, but then see their value plummet in the season leading up to the draft. IMO these guys tends to be the risky ones, Angelo Esposito, Kylington, Shinkaruk, are a couple of names that come to mind.