Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason14h
You can win the cup with a 30 goal differential? Well - Yes you can technically win the cup with any goal differential...But that is not a contender differential
In this years 56 games season this is the top 10 goal differential teams
Vegas 67
Colorado 64
Carolina 43
Pitts 40
Toronto 39
Florida 36
TB 34
Boston 32
Edmonton 29
Washington 28
Over the truncated season a 30 goal differential is equal to 20
Here are the teams at a 20 goal differential from this year
Winnipeg
Minny
NYR
So in your optomistic scenario where we finish top 5 in GA were are sitting in the differential of the Jets and Wild.
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A 30 goal differential alone will put you in the top half of the playoffs, so top quartile of the league. Having a defense that allows less than 200 goals makes you elite in that category and a true top 3 team on that side of the puck.
That smothering style we call playoff hockey looks a lot like a team that allows less than 200 goals in a season, and can put the puck in the net slightly better than middle of the pack.
Separate the two metrics and start going back through the NHL standings first sorting on goal diff, then on goals against and which teams can score around 230 goals. In my opinion there is a difference between a team that scores 260 goals and allows 230 vs a team that scores 230 and allows 200.
Now build through the draft so you can score 230+ goals and keep your GA down around 200 and you're an elite elite team...like Colorado this year...although there is serious skew from schedules this season.