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Calgary4LIfe · 06-02-2021, 03:23 PM

I would absolutely love it if some teams released a bulk of their draft prep after the fact this year. I know it won't happen, but I think stuff like that is always interesting, but in this pandemic year? Fascinating.

I am really interested to see how Bingo's averages line-up with what ends up happening. Those averages are usually pretty strong every draft, with only a couple of big surprises (hello Columbus last year!).

This year, with limited number of games, often no scouts being allowed in person, players having to play not only on different teams, but in different leagues, different countries and even on a different continent. How many viewings did a team get? Etc.. Everything is so different. My bet is that the variance is larger than it is most years, making it slightly less important where your pick falls.

However, maybe there becomes less surprises in the variance? Maybe some teams are less inclined to deviate much from the lists out there because they aren't as sure on some kids as they would like to be? Maybe they haven't been able to get enough eyes out there at times to see other kids really shine enough at those moments that would have otherwise had them deciding on that kid.

Will be interesting to see if the variance (or surprises) seem to be larger or smaller. Maybe a lot more prospects from the 2nd (and even 3rd round and beyond) find themselves drafted in the first?

One interesting aspect is that we know that teams like to try and figure out who else is high on a kid. For instance, Calgary knew that Boston was interested in Gaudreau, so they tried to figure out when to take Gaudreau. They were surprised when Tampa took Kucherov. Calgary knew that Montreal and NJ were two of the teams that may have taken Jankowski that year too. They watch to see which other teams' scouts are often in attendance, and I assume most other teams do exactly the same. I wonder if that will translate into more variance, as it is much less likely for teams to know right now who the prospects are that other teams are valuing.

Going to be a damn interesting draft.

I think long-term, there are going to be a lot of surprises - more busts than usual in the 1st and 2nd round, more kids that surprise in later rounds. I think this will be a draft that will be talked about for the next couple of decades.

06-02-2021, 03:23 PM	#720
Calgary4LIfe Franchise Player Join Date: Jun 2010 Exp:	I would absolutely love it if some teams released a bulk of their draft prep after the fact this year. I know it won't happen, but I think stuff like that is always interesting, but in this pandemic year? Fascinating. I am really interested to see how Bingo's averages line-up with what ends up happening. Those averages are usually pretty strong every draft, with only a couple of big surprises (hello Columbus last year!). This year, with limited number of games, often no scouts being allowed in person, players having to play not only on different teams, but in different leagues, different countries and even on a different continent. How many viewings did a team get? Etc.. Everything is so different. My bet is that the variance is larger than it is most years, making it slightly less important where your pick falls. However, maybe there becomes less surprises in the variance? Maybe some teams are less inclined to deviate much from the lists out there because they aren't as sure on some kids as they would like to be? Maybe they haven't been able to get enough eyes out there at times to see other kids really shine enough at those moments that would have otherwise had them deciding on that kid. Will be interesting to see if the variance (or surprises) seem to be larger or smaller. Maybe a lot more prospects from the 2nd (and even 3rd round and beyond) find themselves drafted in the first? One interesting aspect is that we know that teams like to try and figure out who else is high on a kid. For instance, Calgary knew that Boston was interested in Gaudreau, so they tried to figure out when to take Gaudreau. They were surprised when Tampa took Kucherov. Calgary knew that Montreal and NJ were two of the teams that may have taken Jankowski that year too. They watch to see which other teams' scouts are often in attendance, and I assume most other teams do exactly the same. I wonder if that will translate into more variance, as it is much less likely for teams to know right now who the prospects are that other teams are valuing. Going to be a damn interesting draft. I think long-term, there are going to be a lot of surprises - more busts than usual in the 1st and 2nd round, more kids that surprise in later rounds. I think this will be a draft that will be talked about for the next couple of decades.