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DownhillGoat · 05-25-2021, 10:57 PM

You honestly think it's only going to be 4 months? In N/A maybe but I still find that optimistic.

Most places that actually manufacturer most things are way behind our timeline. Bike parts are still ~400 days behind. The whole microchip issue is pushing some products back 1-2 years.

I don't see that demand crashing until early next year at the absolute earliest.

I also don't think the CERB/mortgage defaults will be anywhere close to what people expected. We're already long past banks holding mortgage payments and seeing very little fallout. I think the people that worked 3x more hours in the last year, transfers from parents, inheritance, pandemic wage increases, etc are going to far outweigh the opposite.

05-25-2021, 10:57 PM	#3152
DownhillGoat Franchise Player Join Date: Jan 2010 Exp:	You honestly think it's only going to be 4 months? In N/A maybe but I still find that optimistic. Most places that actually manufacturer most things are way behind our timeline. Bike parts are still ~400 days behind. The whole microchip issue is pushing some products back 1-2 years. I don't see that demand crashing until early next year at the absolute earliest. I also don't think the CERB/mortgage defaults will be anywhere close to what people expected. We're already long past banks holding mortgage payments and seeing very little fallout. I think the people that worked 3x more hours in the last year, transfers from parents, inheritance, pandemic wage increases, etc are going to far outweigh the opposite. Last edited by DownhillGoat; 05-25-2021 at 11:00 PM.