Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
Re-sign him if you can and the deal is fair market value. If not trade him him. Should be a no-brainer.
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I agree it is no-brainer. IMO for both Tkachuk and Gaudreau the debate is what is the term and cap hit that allows this team to move to be a contender. Considering other players who will get raises and this teams prospect pool and draft situation what are those numbers and do they change if you were to trade 1 or the other vs keeping both?
I'd be ok with keeping Johnny if the term was 5 years at less than $8. Around $38.75 million total dollars. If that is the case would Johnny add years to lower the cap hit from $7.75 per year to get a higher total? Lets say $7.5 for 6 years? That's $45 mil total dollars. I guess it depends on what Johnny thinks he can get at age 34-36. But he might want the guaranteed pay day? Is it worth adding on years to drive down the cap hit?
With Tkachuk he may want $9 mil per year. I'm ok with it if he gave us 8 years. But 5 years makes no sense to me because $9 mil cap hit hurts this teams chances of turning it around quickly. But it does make more sense if this team does a bit of a rebuild. But will Tkachuk ink for 8 years in Calgary if we commit to a rebuild? I doubt it.
Another interesting element to next off season is Mangiapane. His next contract isn't getting alot of attention but IMO it's going up quickly. It could be $4 to $5 mil to sign him if he keeps progressing.
Johnny at $7.75, Tkachuk at $9 and Mangiapane at $5 leaves this team in a position they will need ELC's potentially filling out the 3rd and 4th lines and you just can't have Lucic and Ryan type contracts with all these high price players. IMO the only way this makes any sense is if Lucic did get taken in the expansion draft and what will it cost to get that done? If they can find a way to get that done then maybe you can keep Johnny and Tkachuk but if not 1 has to go. Problem with Tkachuk is if Johnny goes IMO Tkachuk contract demands probably change as he might want to leave if the message is this team is rebuilding. Then it more than likely leaves the team in a spot that 5 years or less is all he will commit and that QO option becomes more inticing.
Then this team still has the Giordano issue. They need to replace him. Maybe Hanifin can do that and maybe Valmaki can replace Hanifin. But that might be way too optimistic.
So as much as it looks like it makes sense to resign if they resign for fair value there is so many moving parts IMO that it really isn't that simple