Thread: 2021 NHL Draft
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Old 05-14-2021, 09:38 AM   #439
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1qqaaz View Post
If the Flames win every remaining game, the only team they can "pass" in the standings is Chicago. The Flames would do this by winning 2 of the last 3 games. The Flames cannot mathematically catch up to Dallas. NY Rangers or Philly. Arizona isn't picking.

However, the only team that pass Calgary in points is Vancouver. That's only possible if Vancouver goes 3-0-1 and Calgary goes 3-0.
That's extremely unlikely.

So Calgary is pretty much locked into the 11th-12th picks.
Based on Tankathon, these are the odds (Arizona messes things up a bit):

10th OA: 0% chance
11th OA: 78.9% chance
12th OA: 14.4% chance

The Flames have a 6.3% chance of winning the lottery a picking top 2.
So after picking 11th/12th, a top 2 pick is the next most likely option.

So start looking at who you have 11th, because that's very likely will the Flames will pick.
At this stage, I hope we don't even use our pick this year. I hope Buffalo uses our pick.
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