Quote:
Originally Posted by Mull
Why wouldn't people want to offer a 1st for him? Isn't he a bonafied first line center on a long term decent contract? Or is the $10M not good value?
Obviously the other part of the package would need to be looked at too, but don't understand why some wouldn't want him if a first is included.
With the draft, you don't know if you will get a 1st line player, we know we get that with him?
I always think to these graphs. People think/assume their #1 will be a future start, but realistically, there is a non-insignificant chance it fades to nothing. With options like including draft position protection included in a trade, a number 1 should definitely be on the table, no?
https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/...probabilities/
Bolded part below implies top picks are skewed to play more due to sunk cost vs actual talent of other pick positions
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Interesting if that's an anomaly or the fact that the team that barely makes it/misses the playoffs is more likely to take a home run swing for next season.
Also wonder if this pick was traded more frequently at the deadline by a team pushing to get in and therefore it's the second pick of a team that already picked a couple of times...again making it more likely to be a home run swing.