View Single Post
Old 05-11-2021, 08:45 AM   #166
tkflames
First Line Centre
 
tkflames's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mull View Post
Why wouldn't people want to offer a 1st for him? Isn't he a bonafied first line center on a long term decent contract? Or is the $10M not good value?

Obviously the other part of the package would need to be looked at too, but don't understand why some wouldn't want him if a first is included.

With the draft, you don't know if you will get a 1st line player, we know we get that with him?

I always think to these graphs. People think/assume their #1 will be a future start, but realistically, there is a non-insignificant chance it fades to nothing. With options like including draft position protection included in a trade, a number 1 should definitely be on the table, no?

https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/...probabilities/




Bolded part below implies top picks are skewed to play more due to sunk cost vs actual talent of other pick positions
Interesting if that's an anomaly or the fact that the team that barely makes it/misses the playoffs is more likely to take a home run swing for next season.

Also wonder if this pick was traded more frequently at the deadline by a team pushing to get in and therefore it's the second pick of a team that already picked a couple of times...again making it more likely to be a home run swing.
__________________
Go Flames Go
tkflames is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to tkflames For This Useful Post: