Quote:
Originally Posted by troutman
Some feel they can win the next mid-terms that way, but longer term this will be a big obstacle for them in 2024 and beyond.
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The mid-term senate race is doable for the dems, I posted about it a while back (not 60 seats, but to get 51 and then have a real shot of changing the filibuster rules). Will be tight.
The house I haven't looked at. My understanding is the latest census favors the republicans, loosing a few Dem seats... but..
Everyone looks at how the Dems lost big in the house in 2020, I always thought that was a little bit of a incorrect perspective. My theory was that the house already had their "anti trump" election in 2018 midterms, and with the president running in 2020, the dems had no where to go but loose seats- they couldn't really push beyond their 2018 results. The swing was always going to be a net loss for the dems from 2018.
I feel this plays well into the mid terms, even more so with the dems spending being popular. If the last swing used the republican momentum up, it may swing further back to the dems