Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
With Tanev the term is still risky for an owner who pays the bills.
I present to you the cautionary tale that is Mark Methot. Similar in style as a really good stay at home D who didn't offer a lot of offence. Was making a bit more money too signed a 4 year deal for 4.9 per season and by June of 2017 had used up two of those. After a nice run with Ottawa and Phaneuf refusing to waive a No Move Clause for the expansion draft he was exposed, drafted by the VGK, and subsequently traded to Dallas for Dylan Ferguson and a 2nd round pick with 2 years left on his deal at 4.9 per year (Oddly enough that pick ended up back in Ottawa in the Mark Stone trade). Over those two years Dallas got 45 total games out of him before his career ended when he was still 33 years old. 36 games one year, and 9 the next. They paid maximum dollars, got very little out of the player and ultimately nothing in terms of returned assets. When the deal was made...most people thought it was a really good move for Dallas. He was pretty much regarded nearly the same as Tanev is now, maybe even moreso.
So Giordano if healthy when the ED happens has one year at 6.75 at a time when Escrow is likely to be about 20% and no risk after this coming season. So in terms of cash owed that would be 5.4. For argument sake let's say revenues rebound and Escrow over the next two years after that is down to 10%. Tanev is owed 5.5 in salary next year and 4.5 each of the next two years. So in this scenario total cash commitment would be 12.5 over the next three seasons. That is a fair bit of risk for a team to carry. The risk of a career ending injury and the financial impact that Tanev has is considerably higher.
So I think that will weigh huge with owners, and it's a big reason why I would happily shed the contract risk that Tanev brings. Especially since it doesn't look like this team will not be very competitive in the next three seasons.
|
Tanev is better than Methot. And he plays a different game. But if Tanev got hurt like that, he’s LTIR and no burden. And if the team isn’t competitive - who cares about cap hit?