Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM
You are cherry picking the slot. Ignoring that Vancouver got Petterson at 5OA, Jets got Wheeler, Habs got Price, Boston got Kessel, Pens got Jagr.
Plus, E. Kane was drafted at 4OA as a centre. Also 4OA: RyJo. Ron Francis. Kariya. Backstrom. Marner (who was a C/RW, which would have been nice).
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flamesfan05
Lol you can’t look at it that way.... you have to look at all the great centers that were picked 4th and below. For example Schiefele, Ziban, Couturier, Marner, Barzal and more are all the centers you could have picked with a 4th in theory
|
You could also get Pavel Brendl, Chad Kilger, or Michael Dal Colle.
It's just about what reasonable expectations are. With a 4OA you have roughly a:
~30% chance of a great player like Backstrom/Kariya/Marner
~30% chance of a very good player like Ricci, Ladd, or Weiss
~20% chance of a disappointing but still useful player like Bennett, Pouliot, or Zherdev
~20% chance of a total bust like Brendl or Bonsignore
Every subsequent pick those odds get a bit worse.
Yes, you could also get Jagr at 5 or Forsberg at 6 or Scheifele at 7 or Bergeron at 45 or Point at 79 or Zetterberg at 210. That doesn't make it a reasonable thing to expect.
At 4 you could also get Luongo, Pietrangelo, or Seth Jones. Or Griffin Reinhart. Or most likely someone in the middle like Klesla, Larsson, Bryan Allen, or Pitkanen.