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Originally Posted by Fuzz
LOL. So your comments are based on facts, mine are opinion? Your opinion is you think Tesla will have FSD in 18+ months, mine is that they will not. There are no facts that make your guess better than mine. In fact, the evidence shows they have a functional system with many issues to solve. Many, in my opinion, that are not solvable with their sensor suite.
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My guess is based on facts I've done the research. As usual going forward I could turn out to be completely wrong. So far I've predicted fairly close.
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I'm not against EV's, I just don't think Tesla has anything that can't be technologically beaten by major manufacturers.
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So currently you acknowledge Tesla is the industry leader. For other auto makers to take the lead I'm going to need to see them building their version of the Gigafactory, coming up with their own battery tech, having a proper team of software engineers etc. etc. so far I am not seeing that at all. VW is the most serious right now but still skeptical they can shed their legacy baggage.
GM has made EV promises over the years they've broken almost all of them. Toyota said in 2016 they'd have a fully electric vehicle by 2020. BTW, you say "major manufacturers" Tesla IS one of those. By the end of this year they'll have 3 factories making cars and are building more and building out the existing ones. This year Tesla will make ~1 million cars. Is that not a major manufacturer to you? No it's not 15 million cars/year but do you really expect Tesla to be at that point 8 years into mainstream production?