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Old 03-04-2021, 12:30 PM   #47
Jiri Hrdina
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nik- View Post
Is it too early? I dunno. 7 years is a long time and the head of scouting has been here a lot longer than that. I don't deny that it's improved, but that's relative to the Flames of old, and not the rest of the league. Draft picks in a 7 year window shouldn't have that much lag relative to the rest of the league, that's enough time for them to start really bearing fruit.

I just don't see how one could place us in the upper echelon.
For this management team I consider 2015 their first draft. It's well known that Burke had a lot of say in the 2014. Anything before that including first round busts is irrelevant to me, if we are evaluating this current regime. Todd Button has been around but clearly his picks have been influenced by who his GM is.

So we have six drafts that we can evaluate.

From 2015 they got 2 good NHLers playing (Andersson and Eat Bread), despite not having a first. Plus Kylington.

From 2016 they got 3 NHLers (Tkachuk, Dube and Fox). Tkachuk was a no brainer but Dube and Fox were great picks that would re-draft in the first round.

From 2017 they've got 1 NHLer (Valimaki). Rest of the draft doesn't look good except perhaps Ruzicka

2018 - too soon to evaluate given picks were 4th or later. Strong potential shown by Pettersen, and Zav for thwere they were draft

2019/2020 simply too soon.

So the assessment of the first 3 drafts, it looks good. To understand where one would place them in the NHl you would have to look at average returns for those same drafts relative to number of picks and position. That's a lot of work that I don't have the time to do.
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