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Originally Posted by GranteedEV
How does one "contribute" minus 8? Is he interfering on his own goalie 12+ times to ensure the other team scores?
what is it, specifically that happened that those stats correctly represent?
None of my stats are projections. Not a single one. When I say Bennett has 3.41 expected goals vs 3 actual goals - I mean to say that these are past events. There's no projecting going on. Those scoring chances and shot attempts and goals actually happened. Expected goals is simply a way of coming shot volume with shot location (and other basic factors like rebounds).
And again, three 5v5 goals is not a poor stat relative to the rest of the roster. The single best goal scorer on the team only has double that.
Plus minus does not tell you anything about an individual's play, whether that player is McDavid or Nesterov or Bennett or whomever. It doesn't even tell you a lot about team play given the randomness of goal events.
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Plus minus is not an accurate stat but large numbers in either direction are hard to get just by luck (good or bad).