Mayor Nenshi has been putting off announcing that he won't run for as long as possible so as not to be considered a lame duck. The filing deadline is not until September 20, but it is obvious to anyone who follows politics that he hasn't had any intention of running again ever since the last election.
Carra is in a similar boat, and I expect him to announce his retirement in the next few weeks. His wife ran his original campaign in 2010 and would make a great candidate, but I doubt she has any intention of running as she does far better with less headaches in her private sector job.
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