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					Originally Posted by powderjunkie  Only with the Captain Hindsight super powers in this case, but in general you might find really good value by trading down from a pick in the 4-10 range. 
I found the deep dive I did. Forwards drafted 4OA since 1990 :
 
Paul Kariya 
Nicklas Backstrom 
Mitch Marner 
Mike Ricci 
Andrew Ladd 
Evander Kane 
Ryan Johansen 
Stephen Weiss 
Brady Tkachuk
 
Chad Kilger 
Todd Warriner 
Nikolai Zherdev 
Benoit Pouliot
Sam Bennett Jesse Puljujarvi
 
Jason Bonsignore 
Alexandre Volchkov 
Pavel Brendl
 
9 hits, 6 meh, 3 busts. It is worth noting that the 7 below average picks other than the italicized were all picked before 2005. The 'hit' rate has been a lot better since then...G Reinhart is the only certain bust since then (Thomas Hickey borderline).
 
D and G:
 
TLDR: it's reasonable to expect a top half of the roster player at 4OA, but probably not a franchise player (especially at C). | 
	
 
You have Makar in the "meh" category? Because I think the current Calder winner is a step above any category Bennett is in.