Thread: Blow it up!
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Old 02-14-2021, 09:31 PM   #400
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Quote:
Originally Posted by powderjunkie View Post
Monahan and Tkachuk are in the 80th+ percentile for 6OA picks (over the last ~30 years).

At least 40% of the 4OA's in that span are worse than Bennett. Shocking as it may be, he's damn near the median for that slot.

Since Francis/Yzerman, Backstrom is the best C taken 4OA (then Johansen and Weiss). Pietrangelo, Seth Jones, and Makar are the franchise D-men, and then there are a bunch of good to great wingers, and a bunch of disappointments.

It's anything but a guarantee to get a stud at 4OA. Collectively, our 6, 6, 4 picks are a lot better than one could expect.
This is one of the reasons I think the draft lottery should be levelled out more. The team that finished 4th last has half the chance of winning the lottery over the team that finished last, but I don't believe the difference between the team that finished 4th last compared to the team that finished last, is that big. Just like the difference between a team that barely makes the playoffs and one that barely misses is that big.

The salary cap and free agency rules took care of parity a long time ago. A strongly weighted draft lottery system is now counter to parity.
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