[gasman]

What happens when the New EV's become like smartphones and won't be taking updates 5-10 years down the road?

The vast majority of people don't drive their vehicles until their wheels fall off. Most people are switching vehicles before they have even completed their payments, so when you look at the vast majority of car buyers, a car theoretically lasting a million miles is irrelevant, and frankly bad business for car manufactures.

The economics will have to be on something more realistic like a 3-5year payback before you see real, actual market share going to Electric vehicles.

Barring any actual regulation that excludes the sale of ICE vehicles, I don't see Electric vehicles having much impact (exceeding 5% of global marketshare) within the next 10 years.

I did some quick math, assuming 15,000km/year, the savings of gas over electric might be $1500 - $2000/year in operating cost, considering 3 oil changes/year, and an ICE engine getting 12l/100Km, compared to an electric car getting 14kw-h/100km, with no maintenance.

Personally I wouldn't consider an Electric car unless, the price was less than $10k different based on these numbers, even then, that's break even, for the added hassle of not being able to fill up my car with another 600km of range in 5 minutes, so if i forget to plug in when I get home, I'm potentially stranded...