Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
I would go so far as to say that they are quite often downright misleading. Last night is a great example.
Stats require specific criteria, obviously. High danger chances must be from home plate. Okay, but that means that any shot from the slot, that is above the dots, isn't considered high danger. Is what it is. EXCEPT, fans see the numbers are draw conclusions - only 1 high danger chance, compared to 12 for the Flames. Therefore the Flames were better.
But wait - the Jets had 12 shots from the slot, that were above the dots. Still potentially very dangerous, but don't count in that stat because they are a few feet further away.
If you dive into the data and digest it properly, there is some good information there. But most fans will see 12-1 and draw conclusions from that, when it does not accurately tell the story.
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I'd agree with that.
Stats are correct but do you agree with what they are saying or suggesting?
I would think if you get 12 shots inside the area right in front of the net and your opponent gets 1 you're going to win most of those games ... so the inference is correct in my mind.
But it's not a guarantee or equation ... too many other variables/parameters for that to be the case.