Quote:
Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed
Battery costs are rapidly dropping.
Within 2-3 years, an EV might be cheaper than a similar gas powered vehicle, leaving people few reasons to stay with gas.
I predict that sales of new gas powered vehicles will be mostly gone by 2030.
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Competition of battery materials (i.e. lithium) is also going to rapidly increase with nearly all other major manufacturers pushing hard.
I think it's going to be pretty even with or without tax rebates. We'll likely see a 50/50 split between EV and gas by 2030 is my guess from a consumer level.
Where I think gas powered vehicles will be phased out sooner than later are things like city buses. There's going to be a huge push from governments to improve infrastructure that way, especially in the next four years in the US.