Ability to implement a Biden agenda is being talked about in the other thread, but my question is regarding the 2022 mid-terms.
Assume the house goes Democrat (huge assumption I know, and one that may not be that accurate)
Who is favored to pick up more senate seats? I ask because normally people look at which party is more at risk by how many seats are available
Seats up for election in 2022:
Currently held by Dems: 14
Currently held by Rep: 20
Is there any sort of website that has listed projections by safe blue/red? For example, California is up for election, likely safe blue, whereas North Carolina is currently red, up for election and the incumbent is retiring (incumbents are harder to kick out)
edit: Ah, I scrolled farther down the wiki page ha, it has predictions, was being lazy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_U...nate_elections
Cook predictions:
D - 50 (includes Georgia)
R - 48
2 tossups (NC and Penn)
538 predictions:
D - 49
R - 48
3 tossups (Georgia, NC and Penn)
Other notes
Quote:
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Potentially competitive Republican-held seats up for election in 2022 include Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. However, the GOP is expected to have a significant edge in Florida and Ohio due to rightward shifts in those states combined with strong incumbent senators. Iowa could also become competitive if incumbent United States Senator Chuck Grassley decides to retire (he would be 89 at the start of his next term if he decided to run). Potentially competitive Democratic-held seats up for election in 2022 include Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire.[4][5] Although, the Democrats have an advantage in Colorado & New Hampshire (assuming their popular incumbent governor doesn't run) similar to the Republican advantages in Florida and Ohio; 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden overperformed on the 2016 Democratic margin by respectively 8.59% in Colorado & 6.98% in New Hampshire.
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