Quote:
Originally Posted by Boreal
Steve Valliquette breaks it down as well.
A breakaway goes in 1/3 shots a 2 on 1 goes in 1/4
shots. This helps to empirically assess how well players are executing chances.
A person may actually have 10 breakaway goals but if they have had 90 breakaways then expected goals empirically proves they are not good on breakaways.
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Just a side note on home plate...
I believe it misses key areas down low, to the sides of the net. Those are very high danger, and a ton of goals get scored from there. They aren't considered high danger however, as the (arbitrary) line is drawn outward to the dots.
Not a huge issue, but I think the stat would be improved if they increased the high danger area to the sides of the net.