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Originally Posted by Textcritic
Thanks, Bingo. Can you help me understand what this "actual goals v. expected goals" means?
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A formula that takes the number of shot attempts and the level of danger per shot attempt to derive what the expected number of goals would be given historical results.
If you have a higher goal rate than expected you are either lucky, or have a better finish rate than the average player.
You'd expect to see highly talented players exceeding those numbers but the top 20 in that stat (GF - xGF / 60) has a few that you wouldn't expect too.