Quote:
Originally Posted by #-3
November level turnout would be very very good for the republicans in Georgia.
When you have a one party with a unified/energized electorate, that all agree they support the candidates (the dems)
And you have a party with an upset/divided electorate critical of it's own members (the reps)
low turn out means the unified party wins by default, high turn out goes back to whoever has the biggest base in the territory. Dems have done a good job growing their Georgian base , but they didn't win a plurality in either of these races before, I doubt we are at the point where dems win a full turnout election (absent a walking disaster like Trump on the ticket).
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Maybe. But on the other hand, I'm reading that Dem voters in GA are pretty stoked about the importance of this election and the possibility of taking back the Senate. As far as motivation goes, the stakes couldn't be higher, which is driving people to the polls.
Also, without Trump on the ticket, there isn't much there to excite the MAGAs. Currently there seems to be a bit of a civil war happening down there between the Trump cult and regular Republicans. That might ultimately hurt the GOP in this election. I mean, this is the south we're talking about, so I wouldn't be shocked at all to see the GOP win it. But I think the Dems have a pretty good shot here. We'll find out soon enough.