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Old 11-09-2020, 08:33 AM   #911
ricardodw
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
I don't know ... history?

If you're going to summarize a model that way don't be lazy ... do them all. Hedman at $20M surplus would push him to $11+ M for example and be the Norris guy.

But go do them all rather than just pulling a number out and calling it a Norris pick.

As per usual with you, this is a rabbit hole. You posted it about Tanev, I replied with his model tendencies and now you are saying the model is predicting a Norris for Giordano.

What's next?
There is a flaw / bias in the model that in my mind makes it not worth considering or even discussing further.

The model has Marc Staal's contract overpriced by 6.5 M ... As his contract is for 5.7 M it sounds like to provide fair value Staal should pay the Wings 800K to play. This is not as bad as Fippula who need to pay the wings 1.3 M to be fair value.

My hyperbole about Gio being a Norris candidate was not meant to taken literally but any defenseman worth 9.5 M year (11.6 % of the cap) should be in the elite top 10 at the very least of the D-men in the League and depending how the chips fall have a shot at the top-3 spots.
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