Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
The democrats have poll watchers in the Arizona counting facilities.
You are making my point.
The democrats aren’t launching lawsuits about potential fraud in Arizona because there is no widespread evidence of fraud in Arizona.
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Is there wide spread evidence of voter fraud anywhere? (aside from tapes of Trumps campaign rallies where he attempted to engage in a conspiracy to commit voter fraud but accidently did it in public and forgot that nobody actually takes him seriously).
I don't know this for a fact, but I am wondering if the extra votes coming through in Georgia are provisional ballots being accepted, I seem to remember two days ago the remaining vote tally suddenly dropping like 17K, and someone said it was provisional ballots set aside.
In Penn, I don't see how anyone could think the Democrats are cheating, the Republicans are basically out preforming every model on the mail in vote. It was originally expected that Biden had won the state by 100,000 - 200,000 votes. In the end its going to end up in the 50,000 - 70,000 range the way things have been going.
Arizona looks like a virtual tie if things stay the same, but mail in ballots are very unpredictable, especially in a state where 80% of the population lives in 1 place and you can't really get demographic data on the remaining tronches of votes. But at the end of the day it doesn't really matter this time.
For the Georgia senate races my instincts tell me we are probably looking at a 3/4 chance for the Republicans, simply bias towards historical trends, but there are things the Democrats have going for them to consider. The Democrats basically won the last two state wide elections, the governs race a couple years ago was literally won by the republicans on the back of voter fraud, intimidation and poll taxes. Biden won this race, and the democratic base in engaged in a way it hadn't been for generations right now which will help with off cycle votes. I still don't think they should be favored, but it doesn't seem likes something that should be dismissed out of hand.
Where the hell do we get the idea that Joe Biden is unqualified for this job? One poster mentioned he might be in the top 3 of the last five presidents, that's ridiculous he's already the second best of the last five without even sitting down (Sexual Assault / Impeachment --- Iraq / War Crimes --- Impeachment / Lies / Fraud / Covid19). He was a successful vice president for 8 years, a senator for longer, as one small example of presidential capacity he's brought labour unions and environmental activists together to sign onto the same plans. He may not get anything done, because 1/2 of Americans ostensibly support a policy of destroying their own governing institutions, but he's already top 2. I think I've said it hear before people are engaging themselves in the No True Scotsman fallacy, if anyone one else on earth were picked they would be saying the same thing and moving the goal post to a new problem, it's just arguing in bad faith.