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Old 11-06-2020, 08:11 PM   #4560
GGG
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Originally Posted by FanIn80 View Post
So he just needs 45% of those? That seems reasonable to me, based on how close NC already is and how the mail-ins in other swing states have been going.

I mean I’m still pretty new to how this all works, so I’m most likely sticking the carrot on the back of the wagon.
So going by 538s number there are 157,000 ballots so he would need 75ish% to close the gap.

The bigger problem is my understanding is that’s outstanding ballots as opposed to ballots in hand and that provisional ballots don’t always get accepted. So it’s unlikely there are enough votes left. But I haven’t really gone into a deep dive.
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