Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
Looking into this further, it really depends on where those votes are coming from and the raw number of votes in each block. For example, if Biden is getting 56.7% from a deep red rural district, that's really good! If he's getting 56.7% from deep blue Philadelphia, then that's not going to cut it.
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Yep, that's a very good point. One thing to note is, you can see the size of the tranches seems to correspond to how he's doing in the tranche in terms of win ratio.
So the last tranche was about 13,000 votes that he won by 80% - that's probably from Philadelphia. The ones before are 4000-5000, they might be from other smaller counties. That would bode pretty well in terms of him staying comfortably over that 60% threshold overall.