If that tweet is accurate and those two Arizona college counties break 60% Biden, Trump would need to take roughly 220k of the remaining 340k votes in Maricopa to win. And appreciating that GOP voters mailed in historically, I think with the trend of democratic voters having mailed in elsewhere the likelihood of those votes breaking 65-35 for Trump and getting him into the lead seems like a reach, you can see why it's been declared by some outlets, although still close.
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