Pennsylvania reported another batch. The Trump lead is now down to 292,414.
I see Nate Cohn predicting that ultimately Biden will end up leading there by 100,000 votes or so but that lead just doesn't seem to be evaporating quickly enough for that to be the case. I guess there are still 700,000 votes or so to be counted, but if you assume that Biden wins 70% of them, that would only make up 280,000 of the lead. And 70% seems pretty optimistic. I'm wondering what I'm missing.
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