Quote:
Originally Posted by Krovikan
A tie wouldn't be that bad as you just need to look at the house to figure out who will win. And based on recent rulings of the supreme court and Barrett being an Originalist, I don't think that Trump could stop this outcoming (if it happens). Based on CNN's map even stopping the counting would be bad for Trump at this point as it would end in a tie (last time I looked).
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Yeah, but the issue with a tie isn't the tie itself and the rules of how it's broken (which aren't particularly complicated). Its both the uncertainty, and then the likely contested election. A contested election isn't great for the market in the short-term, if 2000 is a good guide. The market dropped about 8.4% at that point, and while there were other factors to consider, there are always other factors including today.
I think that the sooner and more decisive a result, the better. It might not be perfect that Biden wins the Presidency and the Republicans control the senate, but that probably means not much in terms of new taxes, stimulus albeit less than a Democrat controlled senate and overall not huge changes. That's not necessarily doom and gloom though.