I don’t know how Georgia will end up but I think we can say with confidence that all of the premature “the polls were wrong” that pointed at Georgia (in this very thread) have not aged well. Polls had Georgia as a toss up. Whoever wins, that’s exactly what it’s turning out to be. Polls are not an exact tool but they got Georgia pretty close to right.
Other states the polls appear to have got pretty much right: Texas, Ohio, and Iowa. Ann Selzer was bang on in Iowa and NYT/Siena called the Texas race just about exactly. Most of the polling had Trump slightly ahead in Ohio.
So far, I’m not at all convinced the polls were all that “wrong” anywhere other than Florida, which is a notoriously hard state to poll.
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