This is a good article to read on Pennsylvania.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...lection-night/
It really gives you the scale of the potential swing.
Looks very close with the numbers in the article.
Quote:
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That means we could be looking at a situation where Trump has about a 16-point lead, 58 percent to 42 percent, based on approximately 60 percent of the total expected vote. But over the course of the next few days — again, assuming the same pattern we observed in the primary — Biden would win two-thirds of the remaining votes, which would precipitate a 21-point shift in the overall margin from 3 a.m. on election night to the final result, as the chart below shows.
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