Quote:
Originally Posted by FanIn80
Can someone normal please explain why people are posting about Trump winning? I’m pretty much an idiot at this whole thing.
(“Normal” means I don’t want to hear any stupid conspiracy BS.)
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He has won Florida and performed about 5 points better then polling. If this polling is correlated across the country Trump wins.
Florida is a state where they count the mail in vote early.
North Carolina has all of the mail in in and The Upshot needle is forecasting a 1-2 point win. This is about 3% better then polling which would be a slight Biden win.
So if these polling errors are consistent the race is now a coin flip.