Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Random
‘Career winning percentages’ for coaches are a mirage. It's the players who actually win or lose the games. Todd McLellan had a great career winning percentage before he went to Edmonton.
The point is that THIS TEAM put up a .608 points percentage with this coach, and the changes in this team are generally believed to be a net positive. If you're trying to predict one year ahead for one team, then a 42-game sample with the same coach and three-quarters of the same players is highly significant.
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We agree on the relevance of coaches win percentage. My take is that a coach who was on track for a 99 point season after only half a season isn’t much evidence of anything.
Look at Peters year over year. Brought back nearly identical team and the win percentage cratered.