Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
What stats you seeing? The only thing I've seen is from the Florida GOP, and they have it as a small lead on party affiliation. They are also basing their numbers on a 109% voter turnout by Republicans, and only a 101% turnout by Democrats. So they are counting on an eight percent over-performance to achieve their numbers. They also are not mentioning the break of independents and what they looks like. The independents will settle Florida, as usual, it just depends on the break. If the early vote is consistent with what they report, the election is won in the independent mail-in.
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I love how into the pools you are, nice color commentary and breakdowns.