Quote:
Originally Posted by greyshep
Maybe I am missing something but this looks more like bad news for Biden? I thought early numbers from Florida are mail in votes? And then the walk up numbers (which are more likely Republican) are released later.
If that is true, Biden is already down by 173k votes before the walk up numbers come in.
Would be happy to find out I have this backwards.
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The numbers are based on party affiliation, not on actual votes. The vote that gets peeled off for being disenfranchised by each party was breaking 13% versus 4% from polling late last week. Then you have to factor in the independent vote and the break there. That it is this close is a good thing. Only 174K advantage is not the enthusiasm gap the Republicans likely need.