Quote:
Originally Posted by AFireInside
I'm reading the opposite in Florida though. Looking like Florida is unlikely for Biden.
Sounds like the target number for Dems hasn't been what they needed.
This is still all based on party registration, but Biden's team doesn't appear to be optimistic.
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What stats you seeing? The only thing I've seen is from the Florida GOP, and they have it as a small lead on party affiliation. They are also basing their numbers on a 109% voter turnout by Republicans, and only a 101% turnout by Democrats. So they are counting on an eight percent over-performance to achieve their numbers. They also are not mentioning the break of independents and what they looks like. The independents will settle Florida, as usual, it just depends on the break. If the early vote is consistent with what they report, the election is won in the independent mail-in.