[bizkitgto]

If — and it’s a huge if — the polls are right, Joe Biden is about to post the largest popular-vote victory in the six presidential elections held in the 21st century. There are plenty of obvious explanations for his lead, mostly having to do with his opponent’s disastrous presidency. But there’s a more revealing, if esoteric account: Biden is also the first candidate to follow the electoral formula laid out in “The Emerging Democratic Majority,” a 2002 book that promised Democrats a route to enduring dominance of American politics.

Still, Democrats burned out on the Trump years shouldn’t get too excited: If Biden is the first “emerging Democratic majority” candidate, he’s also likely to be the last.

Joe Biden is the first and last ‘Emerging Democratic Majority’ candidate