View Single Post
Old 11-01-2020, 05:29 PM   #8634
GGG
Franchise Player
 
GGG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathgod View Post
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ction-forecast
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...forecast/house
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/senate

.89 * .97 * .76 = 65.6% chance of a blue trifecta according to fivethirtyeight. Please oh please let it happen.

It’s actually probably better than that because the cases where Trump wins the presidency probably don’t overlap with the cases where they win the senate very much. So the Trifecta is probably closer to 76% than 65%
GGG is offline  
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to GGG For This Useful Post: