Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
Trump is convinced he will be leading at the end of election night and the late votes will "steal it"
The problem with his entire plan is that he will be losing at the end of the night on the third...block away jackass
|
Did you read the article that it actually is likely that in Pennsylvania that Teump will be winning at potentially by a substantial amount. In the on coming days it would swing back. So it the most critical state this is exactly what is likely to happen.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...lection-night/
Quote:
Right now, our forecast estimates that about 6.8 million votes will be cast in Pennsylvania, on average, and the average popular vote result gives Biden about a 5-point edge over Trump, 52 percent to 47 percent. If that panned out, that means Biden would win about 3.6 million votes to Trump’s 3.2 million (with a few additional votes for other candidates). And if the vote count followed what we saw in the primary, less than half of Biden’s votes would be in by 3 a.m. on election night, whereas around 70 percent of Trump’s would be reported.
That means we could be looking at a situation where Trump has about a 16-point lead, 58 percent to 42 percent, based on approximately 60 percent of the total expected vote. But over the course of the next few days — again, assuming the same pattern we observed in the primary — Biden would win two-thirds of the remaining votes, which would precipitate a 21-point shift in the overall margin from 3 a.m. on election night to the final result, as the chart below shows.
|
With a 16 point lead evaporating it’s easy to create the narrative of a stolen state with Mail in ballots. It’s entirely predictable though.