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Originally Posted by GirlySports
Couple of things.
It's always been about 30% of the Latino votes goes R. This time it could be more as I read somewhere there are more than a dozen Latinocandidates running for congress as R. So if they drive voter turnout, they could vote upticket for Trump.
And sadly, I've said this before, old immigrants #### on new immigrants. FYIGM. I believe that while Latinos may sympathize with illegal immigrants and favor a path to citizenship for those already here, large majorities agree with Trump’s policies regarding law and order at the border.
And as soon as they get here, they all #### on the Blacks.
For most of Trump's term, his racism was focused on Latinos, so Latinos were more likely to be opposed to him. But I think the focus on Black Lives this past few months will lead to more Latino opposition to Democrats.
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It depends on where the additional Latino candidates are running. For example, Florida tends to have a large Latino population that supports Republican policies. They tend to be less religious than Latinos from mainland Latin America, and they also tend to come from the class of people who left Cuba because of communism. They like that Republicans were harder on the regime there. If the additional candidates are running in Florida, it might not make a huge difference.
As a side note, before anyone makes the assumption that "more religious" means more likely to support Republicans, that is typically only true with Protestant and Evangelical Christians. Historically, Catholics tend to vote between 50-70% in favour of Democrat politicians. White Catholics even more so, who tend to be more socially liberal and put an emphasis on the social contract aspect of the religion. The major labour movements in the U.S. were initiated mostly by Irish and Italian Catholics after all.