Quote:
Originally Posted by wittynickname
I can't see Trump gaining voters from where his number was in 2016. The people who voted for him as a joke aren't going to do the same. There are plenty who voted for him because they didn't want a "politician" but they haven't found any difference in a Trump presidency, so they're disillusioned yet again and are unlikely to vote this time around.
I don't think too many people who didn't vote in 2016, or who voted for another candidate, are going to change over to vote for Trump. I think 2016 was his threshold.
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Given the higher turnout expected, I'm very curious how that's going to turn out. Some predict 150 million voters this time around (126 million last time). Trump had 62 million votes last time which I believe was the most any Republican president has ever had.
He can probably win the election with about 46% of the vote. Can he find 7 million more votes?
Or maybe more accurately, he had 2.9 million votes in Pennsylvania last time. Pennsylvania had 6.1 million voters. This time around, Pennsylvania has 9 million registered voters. Assuming 8 million of those vote, can Trump find another million voters in Pennsylvania?