[nik-]

If Covid never existed it might be a closer race is a pretty significant understatement imo. I think if 2020 ended the same way 2019 did, Trump had a very good chance of winning again. People in political discussions tend to overestimate the level of engagement of the general population and I just think that for most people, before Covid, their lives hadn't changed that much in an immediately perceptible way. Less people would have voted for him, but it might not have been enough of a change to overcome the shenanigans Republicans have been pulling with the voting process. He very well could have won a second term.