Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
Republicans are crushing, right? Except they are still 183,596 behind the Democrats in total registrations. What is also missing here is the number of voters that have fallen off the rolls during that time because they have died. Does the growth keep pace with or exceed the numbers dying off?
|
Another thing is that voter registration changes tend to trail actually voting patterns. Someone doesn't make up their mind first to change their voter registration and then make up their mind to vote for the other party. In 2016, there were a number of registered democrats who had become disappointed with the democrats over the years, and in that election voted for Trump. Then, in the years that followed they changed their voter registration to reflect that change of heart. So any gains that republicans have made in voter registration since 2016 may not be people who have changed political leanings since 2016, but rather people who changed the political leanings prior to 2016 and only changed their registration later.