Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
This has been explained ad nauseum but we'll try again. The polls were largely bang-on at the national level in 2016. It was at the state level where Trump outperformed his polls, but it was also still within the MoE. He outperformed his polls by about 2% at the state level. Even if he outperforms them by that level again this year, it's still a landslide loss.
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Also polls can't accurately predict voter turnout.
"Who will you vote for"
"Will you vote"
Does that person actually vote?