Quote:
Originally Posted by Firebot
My issue with polls, is that the only ones who respond to them are ones which would hit a mindset, and they try to portray a narrative. They are biased in nature of how they are conducted. Since most polls are generally media controlled and most media is left wing, the results tend to be heavily slanted.
A reminder of how 2016 was looking around this time.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Oct 17 2016 had Clinton winning at 88.1%
People are really betting way too much on the polls and I feel like Trump could win and be a shock to everyone...again...to anyone who doesn't realize that large demographic of the population isn't on reddit or on forums and online posters don't necessarily take the time to vote.
Trump wasn't supposed to win in 2016, yet he did. |
This has been explained ad nauseum but we'll try again. The polls were largely bang-on at the national level in 2016. It was at the state level where Trump outperformed his polls, but it was also still within the MoE. He outperformed his polls by about 2% at the state level. Even if he outperforms them by that level again this year, it's still a landslide loss.