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Old 10-08-2020, 10:55 AM   #6019
Senator Clay Davis
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG View Post
This is a concerning poll result.

It could result in the following scenario

- Trump has a significant electoral college lead on election night
- Mail in Ballots are counted and Biden wins them 70-30
- that swings the election

- it creates the Narritive that Trump is looking for as a 70-30 win on any issue right now is surprising.

Some of that is skewed by states like California having liberal mail in ballot rules so maybe not that bad.
The thing is if mail in ballots are received well before election day they are often the first ballots counted. Anything received around election day or after won't be counted until last, but with such a large volume so far out Trump's strategy of hoping he's ahead on election night and then ending the election there is less viable.
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Last edited by Senator Clay Davis; 10-08-2020 at 10:58 AM.
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