Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
New Monmouth poll this morning has Biden up 11 in Pennsylvania which gives a little more credence to the CNN poll showing Biden up 16 nationally which otherwise looks like a bit of an outlier.
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-ins...oll_pa_100620/
Since the debate you have to look pretty hard to find good news for the President, but there is one Suffolk poll of Florida that has the race tied 45-45 in that state:
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...C2A750177E88D5
That is NOT consistent with a double digit lead nationally, but overall I think a picture is emerging of a bit of widening in the race since the debate. I kind of doubt Trump’s antics since coming down with Covid are helping him any.
Latest polls on 538:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ident-general/
I apologize about being lazy about these—I’ll try to post more updates, the problem is that from a polling standpoint (to me at least) the race has been a little... boring. Until the last week or so it seemed like the most stable presidential race in recent memory, which is consistent with the view that this cake has been baked for a while and it is a matter of turning out votes in the right places for Biden at this point. |
Hillary (and Comey) aren't walking through that door. Biden is boring and not all that polarizing. Steadiest race since 1996 for me, it's been very consistent since the church photo-op. Any bumps for Trump have been MOE noise and nothing more. People are just sick of the circus.