Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Potential Gaudreau trades: Rest of Eastern Conference Post#253

powderjunkie · 10-03-2020, 04:11 PM

I've long said that Gaudreau's value is probably relatively stable whether he's traded now or at this final TDL based on the ED and his NTC. I thought last TDL might have been the time to get a bit more for him, and that it didn't necessarily preclude the Flames from being competitive in the playoffs, but I digress.

I still think sooner is better on the basis of the future assets involved coming to fruition for this team's new window (Tkachuk/Valimaki/Andersson/Dube/Mangi), but I think there is one other possible scenario: extend him at the first possible opportunity (Jul-1-2021 equivalent) and then trade him if so desired. You're still limited to his NTC

2022 free agency class has potential to be crazy (though I think most re-sign, there could still be a few huge fish). It's simple risk mitigation for both sides. You tend to save a few bucks on AAV by committing early, but there is a lot of value for a player to avoid the stress/uncertainty that comes with playing out the stretch towards UFA status.

I don't think it's very likely, but it's worth considering as an outside chance. I don't think an FMV extension increases JG's trade value by very much, but it takes the doomsday clock out of the picture.

10-03-2020, 04:11 PM	#322
powderjunkie Franchise Player Join Date: Dec 2011 Exp:	I've long said that Gaudreau's value is probably relatively stable whether he's traded now or at this final TDL based on the ED and his NTC. I thought last TDL might have been the time to get a bit more for him, and that it didn't necessarily preclude the Flames from being competitive in the playoffs, but I digress. I still think sooner is better on the basis of the future assets involved coming to fruition for this team's new window (Tkachuk/Valimaki/Andersson/Dube/Mangi), but I think there is one other possible scenario: extend him at the first possible opportunity (Jul-1-2021 equivalent) and then trade him if so desired. You're still limited to his NTC 2022 free agency class has potential to be crazy (though I think most re-sign, there could still be a few huge fish). It's simple risk mitigation for both sides. You tend to save a few bucks on AAV by committing early, but there is a lot of value for a player to avoid the stress/uncertainty that comes with playing out the stretch towards UFA status. I don't think it's very likely, but it's worth considering as an outside chance. I don't think an FMV extension increases JG's trade value by very much, but it takes the doomsday clock out of the picture.