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Old 10-02-2020, 10:02 AM   #5167
calgaryred
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Originally Posted by GGG View Post
I’m saying that the base is not a monolithic group and instead is a group that consists of people with varying levels of enthusiasm on going out to vote. Turning out the base is all that really matters. Take John Bolton who is voting for Raegan. Turn those into Trump votes and Trumps numbers improved.



We are talking about 2/100 people need be affected for it to make a meaningful difference.



The how serious is Covid and is Herd immunity the correct strategy is still being discussed around rational people and countries. So it’s not just kooks that will have their beliefs reaffirmed. It’s areas where the virus was controlled where the affects of the virus were less than the economic affects.



If Trump recovers quickly from Covid and can resume his campaign by the end of next week I would bet on a 2 point bump in Trumps poll numbers as a result of the its just the flu campaign.
Or he recovers and it ppints out he has been a horrible leader on the virus and continues to shoot himself in the foot with his comments, which makes more sense. Biden came off more presidential in the debates and gave a sense of normalcy and unity. He didnt need to say anything more but his own campaign promises.Trump lost the debate cause he was what he was a idiot on stage and as always what he says. The guy cant keep on script if anything he has and always will #### it up. I see no change in this.

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